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    Modeling Deforestation at Distinct Geographic Scales and Time Periods in Santa Cruz, Bolivia

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    This article analyzes geo-referenced data to elucidate the relations between deforestation and access to roads and markets, attributes of the physical environment, land tenure, and zoning policies in Santa Cruz, Bolivia. It presents separate models for Santa Cruz as a whole and for seven different zones within Santa Cruz, as well as for two different time periods (pre-1989 and 1989 to 1994). The relation between deforestation and the explanatory variables varies depending on geographic scale and the zone and time period analyzed. At the department scale, locations closer to roads and the city and places that have more fertile soils and wetter climates have a greater probability of being deforested. The same applies to colonization areas. Protected areas and forest concessions are less likely to be deforested. Nevertheless, in many specific zones, these variables had no significant impact or actually had the opposite impact than in the entire department. Most of these relations were weaker between 1989 and 1994 than in the previous period.

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    Description

    Title : Modeling Deforestation at Distinct Geographic Scales and Time Periods in Santa Cruz, Bolivia
    Author(s) : BenoÎt Mertens, David Kaimowitz, Atie Puntodewo, Jerry Vanclay, Patricia Mendez
    Abstract : This article analyzes geo-referenced data to elucidate the relations between deforestation and access to roads and markets, attributes of the physical environment, land tenure, and zoning policies in Santa Cruz, Bolivia. It presents separate models for Santa Cruz as a whole and for seven different zones within Santa Cruz, as well as for two different time periods (pre-1989 and 1989 to 1994). The relation between deforestation and the explanatory variables varies depending on geographic scale and the zone and time period analyzed. At the department scale, locations closer to roads and the city and places that have more fertile soils and wetter climates have a greater probability of being deforested. The same applies to colonization areas. Protected areas and forest concessions are less likely to be deforested. Nevertheless, in many specific zones, these variables had no significant impact or actually had the opposite impact than in the entire department. Most of these relations were weaker between 1989 and 1994 than in the previous period.
    Keywords : agriculture development, amazon, bolivia, deforestation, frontier, spatial analy

    Subject : unspecified
    Area : Other
    Language : English
    Year : 2004

    Affiliations Southern Cross University
    Journal : International Regional Science Review
    Volume : 27
    Issue : 3
    Pages : 271 - 296
    Url : http://irx.sagepub.com/cgi/doi/10.1177/0160017604266027
    Doi : 10.1177/0160017604266027

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    Jerome's Peer Evaluation activity

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    • Habiba Hassan Wassef, Senior professional, Independent international expert, United Nations, WHO, National Coordinator for the 7th European Framework Research Programme, National Research Center in Cairo, Egypt.
    • Thuy Nguyen, Student, Ph.D. Level, Silviculture Research Institute, Ha Noi, Vietnam, The University of Melbourne.
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